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FGUS53 KKRF 151410 RVFKSR RIVER FORECAST NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO 1410Z Wed May 15 2024 : : THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION. : REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST. : FORECAST GROUP IS KANSAS : ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF <== :________________________________________________________________ :FT RILEY KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP :FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.6 FT AT 1330Z ON 0515 :Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0514 / 4.7 : 0515 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 .ER FTRK1 20240515 Z DC202405151410/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6 :Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z .E1 : 0515 : / 4.6 .E2 : 0516 : / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E3 : 0517 : / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E4 : 0518 : / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E5 : 0519 : / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E6 : 0520 : / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0514 / 0.00 : 0515 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.04 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 15: 0.04 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0515 / 0.05 : 0516 / 0.02 / 0.23 / 0.04 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 16: 0.34 inches :________________________________________________________________ :WAMEGO KS NO.2 - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP :FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 17.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.5 FT AT 1330Z ON 0515 :Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0514 / 6.6 : 0515 / 6.5 / 6.5 / 6.5 .ER WMGK1 20240515 Z DC202405151410/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6 :Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z .E1 : 0515 : / 6.5 .E2 : 0516 : / 6.4 / 6.4 / 6.4 / 6.4 .E3 : 0517 : / 6.3 / 6.1 / 6.0 / 6.0 .E4 : 0518 : / 5.9 / 5.4 / 5.3 / 5.3 .E5 : 0519 : / 5.2 / 4.8 / 4.6 / 4.6 .E6 : 0520 : / 4.5 / 4.2 / 4.1 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0514 / 0.00 : 0515 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 15: 0.00 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0515 / 0.06 : 0516 / 0.02 / 0.19 / 0.06 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 16: 0.33 inches :________________________________________________________________ :TOPEKA KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP :FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 44.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 9.5 FT AT 1330Z ON 0515 :Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0514 / 9.0 : 0515 / 10.0 / 10.1 / 9.6 .ER TPAK1 20240515 Z DC202405151410/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6 :Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z .E1 : 0515 : / 9.3 .E2 : 0516 : / 9.1 / 8.9 / 8.8 / 8.7 .E3 : 0517 : / 8.6 / 8.6 / 8.5 / 8.5 .E4 : 0518 : / 8.3 / 8.3 / 8.2 / 8.1 .E5 : 0519 : / 8.0 / 7.8 / 7.6 / 7.4 .E6 : 0520 : / 7.3 / 7.1 / 7.0 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0514 / 0.00 : 0515 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 15: 0.00 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0515 / 0.03 : 0516 / 0.01 / 0.20 / 0.07 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 16: 0.31 inches :TOPEKA KS - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP :LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 9.28 KCFS AT 1200Z ON 0515 .ER TPAK1 20240515 Z DC202405151410/DH18/QRIFF/DIH6 :Flow Fcst / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z .E1 : 0515 : / 7.76 .E2 : 0516 : / 7.23 / 6.87 / 6.64 / 6.47 .E3 : 0517 : / 6.31 / 6.19 / 6.08 / 5.90 .E4 : 0518 : / 5.66 / 5.49 / 5.34 / 5.21 .E5 : 0519 : / 4.987 / 4.556 / 4.152 / 3.901 .E6 : 0520 : / 3.662 / 3.326 / 3.029 :________________________________________________________________ :TOPEKA KS 4NW - SOLDIER CREEK HSA - TOP :FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 27.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 40.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 0.9 FT AT 1400Z ON 0515 :Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0514 / 0.4 : 0515 / 0.4 / 0.9 / 1.0 .ER TOPK1 20240515 Z DC202405151410/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6 :Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z .E1 : 0515 : / 0.8 .E2 : 0516 : / 0.7 / 0.6 / 0.6 / 0.5 .E3 : 0517 : / 0.5 / 0.4 / 0.4 / 0.4 .E4 : 0518 : / 0.4 / 0.4 / 0.4 / 0.4 .E5 : 0519 : / 0.4 / 0.4 / 0.3 / 0.3 .E6 : 0520 : / 0.3 / 0.3 / 0.3 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0514 / 0.00 : 0515 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 15: 0.00 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0515 / 0.04 : 0516 / 0.01 / 0.14 / 0.11 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 16: 0.30 inches :________________________________________________________________ :LECOMPTON KS 1NE - KANSAS RIVER HSA - TOP :FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.8 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.2 FT AT 1330Z ON 0515 :Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0514 / 5.0 : 0515 / 5.1 / 5.8 / 6.2 .ER LCPK1 20240515 Z DC202405151410/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6 :Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z .E1 : 0515 : / 6.2 .E2 : 0516 : / 6.0 / 5.7 / 5.5 / 5.4 .E3 : 0517 : / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.1 .E4 : 0518 : / 5.0 / 4.9 / 4.8 / 4.7 .E5 : 0519 : / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.4 / 4.2 .E6 : 0520 : / 4.1 / 3.9 / 3.7 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0514 / 0.00 : 0515 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 15: 0.00 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0515 / 0.01 : 0516 / 0.00 / 0.17 / 0.10 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 16: 0.28 inches :________________________________________________________________ :DESOTO KS 1N - KANSAS RIVER HSA - EAX :FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.0 FT AT 1345Z ON 0515 :Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0514 / 6.9 : 0515 / 6.9 / 6.9 / 7.0 .ER DSOK1 20240515 Z DC202405151410/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6 :Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z .E1 : 0515 : / 7.5 .E2 : 0516 : / 7.9 / 8.1 / 8.1 / 8.0 .E3 : 0517 : / 7.8 / 7.6 / 7.4 / 7.3 .E4 : 0518 : / 7.2 / 7.2 / 7.1 / 7.1 .E5 : 0519 : / 7.0 / 7.0 / 6.9 / 6.8 .E6 : 0520 : / 6.7 / 6.5 / 6.4 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0514 / 0.00 : 0515 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 15: 0.00 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0515 / 0.01 : 0516 / 0.00 / 0.25 / 0.19 : :Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 16: 0.45 inches :DESOTO KS 1N - KANSAS RIVER HSA - EAX :LATEST FLOW 5.6 KCFS AT 1200Z ON 0515 .ER DSOK1 20240515 Z DC202405151410/DH18/QRIFF/DIH6 :Flow Fcst / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z .E1 : 0515 : / 6.90 .E2 : 0516 : / 8.11 / 8.72 / 8.72 / 8.25 .E3 : 0517 : / 7.68 / 7.15 / 6.72 / 6.46 .E4 : 0518 : / 6.29 / 6.16 / 6.00 / 5.88 .E5 : 0519 : / 5.75 / 5.61 / 5.44 / 5.24 .E6 : 0520 : / 4.999 / 4.723 / 4.426 :***************************************************************** :COMMENT : : :HSA - Hydrologic Service Area :WFO - Weather Forecast Office :TOP - NWS WFO Topeka, Kansas :EAX - NWS WFO Pleasant Hill, Missouri :OBS - Observed :EST - Estimated :M - Missing :Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation :Flow Fcst - River Flow forecast including future precipitation :Precip - Precipitation :QPE - Observed radar estimated precipitation :QPF - Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin : : $$ : bds :...END of MESSAGE...