STATISTICS
Week | Date | None | Abnormally Dry | Moderate | Severe | Extreme | Exceptional | DSCI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | 2021-03-02 | 47.65 | 52.35 | 26.95 | 10.08 | 2.93 | 0.00 | 92 |
Last Week | 2021-02-23 | 47.86 | 52.14 | 26.95 | 10.08 | 2.93 | 0.00 | 92 |
Three Months Ago | 2020-12-01 | 38.07 | 61.93 | 36.35 | 17.59 | 4.03 | 0.00 | 120 |
Start of Calendar Year | 2020-12-29 | 37.84 | 62.16 | 36.35 | 17.59 | 4.03 | 0.00 | 120 |
Start of Water Year | 2020-09-29 | 30.57 | 69.43 | 46.89 | 22.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 139 |
One Year Ago | 2020-03-03 | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
DISCUSSION
The current U.S. Drought Monitor period was highlighted by a large swath of heavy rain that started in northeast Texas and progressed northeast into the Mid-Atlantic. In this area, widespread reports of 200-400% of normal precipitation took place, with some areas of Kentucky having widespread 6-8 inch amounts. Dry conditions dominated much of the West and especially the Southwest and into the Plains. Some active weather in the Pacific Northwest and northern Rocky Mountains brought with it rain and snow, helping to boost seasonal snow totals. Temperatures during the week were cooler than normal over the West with departures of 6-9 degrees below normal widespread, while temperatures were above normal from the Plains eastward with departures of 9-12 degrees above normal over much of Alabama.
The 6-10 day outlooks show the greatest chances of above-normal precipitation centered on the Midwest, with much of the country showing above-normal chances of above-normal precipitation. Coastal areas of the Southeast and into the peninsula of Florida are showing the greatest chances of below-normal precipitation. There are above-normal chances of above-normal temperatures for most areas east of the Rocky Mountains, with the greatest chances in the Midwest. Above-normal chances of below-normal temperatures are expected over much of the West, with coastal areas having the greatest chances.
Forecast
Over the next 5-7 days, it is anticipated that precipitation totals will be greatest along the West Coast from central California into the Pacific Northwest. The Plains and Midwest as well as the Rocky Mountains may see a more active pattern, with the greatest amounts of precipitation expected over the northern Plains and Upper Midwest and portions of the central Plains. Dry conditions will dominate the Mid-Atlantic and into the Tennessee River Valley while the Florida peninsula may have several opportunities for precipitation.The 6-10 day outlooks show the greatest chances of above-normal precipitation centered on the Midwest, with much of the country showing above-normal chances of above-normal precipitation. Coastal areas of the Southeast and into the peninsula of Florida are showing the greatest chances of below-normal precipitation. There are above-normal chances of above-normal temperatures for most areas east of the Rocky Mountains, with the greatest chances in the Midwest. Above-normal chances of below-normal temperatures are expected over much of the West, with coastal areas having the greatest chances.