May 6, 2024 9:05 AM
FNUS73 KARX 061405
FWSARX
Spot Forecast for PR 32 Blackline...USFWS
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
905 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (608) 784-8292 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...Sunny skies are expected through much of today with
southeast winds of 10-15 mph by afternoon, gusting to 20 mph.
Mixing heights to around 4-5kft will allow minimum RHs to fall to
around 30% this afternoon. Smoke dispersal will be good to
excellent this afternoon with robust mixing in place, smoke
dispersal conditions will reduce to poor as diurnal mixing
subsides later this evening. Showers and storms will push through
the region overnight and into the morning on Tuesday. Additional
showers and storms are possible during the afternoon on Tuesday as
well.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........63 at ignition...Max 73.
RH..................46 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 8 mph at
ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 8 to 10
mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5200 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /57500 knot-ft/ at ignition.
Max...excellent /76400 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth at ignition...max 4.
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3 4 3 8 12 17 19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............63 66 69 71 72 73 72
RH..............46 40 35 34 34 34 35
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..8 9 9 9 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.14 15 15 15 15 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 4.2 4.8 5.1 5.2 5.1 5.1
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.18 17 16 16 16 17 17
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100058 63 67 71 72 76 76
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the morning.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent early in
the morning.
Temperature.........Min 53.
RH..................Max 74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL decreasing to 700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (72500 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (10300 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........21 24 25 37 52 69
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10
Temp............72 65 59 56 55 54
RH..............37 48 62 66 69 71
20 ft wind......SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 11 E 13 E 15
20 ft wind gust.16 18 18 19 21 21
Mix hgt (ft)....4300 800 800 900 800 1000
Transport wind..SE 20 SE 17 SE 16 SE 21 SE 18 SE 21
Haines index....4 4 4 4 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100073 13 11 15 14 18
$$
Forecaster...JRN
Requested by...Ben Halverson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413256.0/ARX
.DELDT 05/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL [email protected]