← Previous October 2, 2023 1:50 AM

FNUS21 KWNS 020650

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0150 AM CDT Mon Oct 02 2023

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z


An upper low centered over the Great Basin and Southwest is forecast
to slowly weaken as it shifts eastward today. As the upper low
slowly breaks down, flow aloft will also become increasingly
meridional and weaken with time. However, flow aloft will remain
enhanced enough to support breezy winds over parts of western NM and
southwest CO. Beneath the cold core of the upper low, moderating
surface temperatures and increasing humidity are expected over parts
of the southwest and central Rockies as mid and low-level moisture
move northward. Isolated pockets of dry and breezy conditions may
persist over more sheltered areas of the Southwest across western NM
and far eastern AZ with winds of 15-25 mph and humidity of 15-25%.
However, precipitation chances are expected to increase as a weak
cold front and the upper low approach from the west. Sustained
elevated fire-weather concerns appear unlikely given the relatively
modest temporal and spatial overlap of dry and breezy conditions
with dry fuels.

..Lyons.. 10/02/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...