March 10, 2010

Sun vs Clouds

There is a real difference this afternoon between locations that are receiving sunshine and those that are not. For example at mid afternoon Waterloo had a temperature of 39° with Fog, while in southeast Iowa where skies have partally cleared, Fairfield, Mount Pleasant and Burlington are at 56°. Keokuk has jumped up to 61° with a dewpoint at 51°.

This is a minor break in the action before the next round of rain and isolated thunderstorms moves into the state from the south and southwest. It will arrive most likely after sunset this evening and last throughout the overnight hours into Thursday. Some of the storms may be severe in Missouri and west central Illinois, but are not likely to be in Iowa.

Numerous rivers continue under river flood warnings through the early part of next week or later. The next post will address those issues.

Rain will continue off and on through Saturday before drier weather moves in. Highs today will be stuck in the low to mid 40s over the north where clouds and fog will hold tough, while the southeastern parts of the state will easily hit or surpass 60 degrees (as it has already done so in Keokuk). Over the next few days highs will remain in the 40s and lower 50s with lows generally in the mid to upper 30s to lower 40s.

March 9, 2010

More River Flood Warnings Issued

In addition to the many river flood warnings issued yesterday, several more were issued this morning for flooding that is expected to occur later this week and into next week.

They include
Cedar Creek near Bussey
East Fork Nishnabotna River at Red Oak
North Skunk River near Sigourney
Wapsipinicon River at Anamosa
Maquoketa River at Manchester
Maquoketa River near Maquoketa
Iowa River at Marengo
Iowa River at Wapello
English River near Kalona

These river points along with the others in a post yesterday will remain under (or soon to be under) flood warnings for the forseeable future.

March 8, 2010

Numerous River Flood Warnings

As was mentioned earlier this afternoon in a post, numerous flood warnings have been issued for many rivers in the state. This is for the continuing snowmelt but expected moderate to heavy rain this week across the state.

The following rivers are currently under (or will be under) a flood warning.
North Fork Raccoon River near Perry
Thompson River at Davis City
South Skunk River near Ames
South Skunk River at Colfax
Iowa River near Rowan
Iowa River at Marshalltown
Cedar River at Cedar Falls
Cedar River in Waterloo West Fk. Cedar River at Finchford
Winnebago River in Mason City
Shell Rock River near Shell Rock
Des Moines River at Fort Dodge
Des Moines River near Stratford
Des Moines River at Southeast 6th Des Moines River at Eddyville
Beaver Creek near Grimes
Raccoon River at Raccoon River in Van Meter
Raccoon River at Des Moines Highway 28
Raccoon River at Des Moines Fleur Drive
North River near Norwalk
West Fk. Des Moines River at Humboldt
Wapsipinicon River near DeWitt
Skunk River near Augusta

March 8, 2010

Dense Fog Advisory Until 9am Tuesday

A Dense Fog Advisory has been issued until 9am Tuesday morning for the following counties, Allamakee, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd, Howard, Mitchell, Winneshiek, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Butler, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Dallas, Emmet, Franklin, Greene, Grundy, Hamilton, Hancock, Hardin, Humboldt, Jasper, Kossuth, Marshall, Palo Alto, Pocahontas, Polk, Poweshiek, Sac, Story, Tama, Webster, Winnebago, Worth and Wright.

Also a Dense Fog Advisory has been issued until 6am Tuesday morning for the following counties, Benton, Buchanan, Cedar, Clinton, Delaware, Des Moines, Dubuque, Henry, Iowa, Jackson, Jefferson, Johnson, Jones, Keokuk, Linn, Louisa, Muscatine, Scott and Washington.

Visibilities have already dropped below a quarter mile in many locations in the state and will drop to near zero during the overnight and early morning hours. Make sure to use low beams if you will be driving tonight.

March 8, 2010

Flooding Likely This Week

The latest QPF chart this morning showed the amount of rain that the state may get has been raised. Most of the state will receive an inch at the least with some locations possibly getting close to 2 inches. This will likely cause some minor or moderate flooding on the state’s rivers and streams over the next week to ten days. Already river flood warnings are in effect for the Skunk River at Augusta in SE Iowa and for the Wapsipinicon River near DeWitt in east-central Iowa until further notice. More river flood warnings and possibly even a flood watch may be issued in the days to come.

No change from the earlier forecasts with the rain moving in tomorrow and possibly lasting through early on Friday. The heaviest rain is likely to fall on Tuesday night into Wednesday and then again on Thursday.

Some drier weather will move in for the upcoming weekend with highs remaining in the upper 30s and 40s with lows in the 20s. This is dependent on how much snowpack is still left in the state (especially in SE Iowa where there may not be any left after this storm)

March 7, 2010

More Chances of Rain This Week

Some dense fog is likely this evening and overnight across the state. A dense fog advisory has been issued for most of the state except along the Missouri River Valley and the southeastern part of the state (The Quad Cities CWA) until mid-morning on Monday.

The next storm will be in the state on Tuesday and is forecasted to remain around through at least Friday. Rainfall maybe heavy with the latest QPF chart showing amounts of at least an inch over the next couple of days, with the highest amounts approaching an inch and a half.

Temperatures over the next week will remain above freezing during the day and most of the upcoming nights as well, so freezing rain, sleet and snow are not likely to be an issue.

Flooding is still possible with the continuing snowmelt and possible heavy rainfall this coming week.

March 6, 2010

Thunderstorms in Western Iowa

A line of showers and thunderstorms has moved into the state early this evening. The storms are currently along a line extending from Ida Grove to east of Hamburg. The individual cells are moving to the north and slightly east at 30-35mph. There has been reports of some small hail with these storms. (Marble Sized 0.5 inch diameter east of Onawa at 5:15pm) and this can be expected for the next couple of hours. Thunder, lightning and possibly some locally heavy bursts of rain are possible mainly west of I-35 through Midnight.

March 6, 2010

Scattered Light to Moderate Rain

Scattered light to moderate rain showers have been moving across the state today. The eastern part of the state has been under ample sunshine for most of the day, but clouds have moved in ahead of a band of showers that is moving east this afternoon. Amounts should be under a quarter inch with this first band has it moves east this evening. More rain is forecast later tonight into tomorrow with amounts under a quarter inch with this precipitation as well. A clap of thunder cannot be ruled out especially in the southern parts of the state this evening and overnight. Some sleet and freezing rain may mix with the precipitation in the north as well as temperatures drop to near freezing tonight.

The next storm is the one that has more questions than answers at this point. Currently, the storm is forecast to move into the state on Tuesday with some light to moderate rain. It will slowly move across the state with lingering chances of rain through at least Thursday and maybe even into early Friday morning in the east. Amounts from this second storm could be in the range of 3/4 of an inch upwards to 1.5 inches in some isolated heavier spots. This will likely lead to some river flooding across the state with the continued melting of the snowpack.

The good thing about all this is that temperatures will stay above the freezing mark for most of the next couple days and nights across the state, which lessens any chance of the rain switching over to sleet, freezing rain or snow. There is however a chance of that occurring some nights over the northern portions of the state for a few hours, but is likely not to amount to a whole lot.

March 5, 2010

The Third Spring Flood Outlooks

Here are the latest Flood Outlooks that were issued earlier today. NOTE: NWS Omaha did not issue one that I could find.

NWS Des Moines Flood Outlook
NWS Quad Cities Flood Outlook
NWS LaCrosse Flood Outlook
NWS Sioux Falls Flood Outlook

March 5, 2010

A Few Rainy Days Ahead

Rain is beginning to move into the western part of the state late this evening. Radar was showing a few light showers along the Missouri River moving into the state. The state will recieve at least a quarter to about a half inch of rain from this storm as it moves through this weekend. The rain will be out of the state by midday Sunday, but temperatures will not cool off behind the storm as readings will remain in the 30s and 40s for highs (maybe even a 50 in southern Iowa) with lows in the 20s and lower 30s. The next storm which looked like was going to miss the state altogether has now begun to shift back to the north, thus chances of precipitation look to ratchet up once more again on Tuesday into Wednesday. Precipitation for this storm is likely to be heavier than the storm this weekend with the possibility of an inch of rain in some isolated areas with many locations receiving at least a half to 3/4 of an inch. This could cause some flooding problems along the area rivers, many of which are still frozen over along with the heavy snow pack that still remains over most of the state. The second storm will slowly move out Wednesday night and Thursday morning with temperatures continuing to stay mild with highs in the 40s and lows in the 30s. A colder pattern looks to be setting up by the following weekend with temperatures possibly dropping back below the freezing mark for highs at that time and some chances of some snow as well.

An Air Quality Advisory continues for the northeastern sections of the state through Noon on Saturday. This is for areas northeast of a line from Mason City to Iowa City. The air quality should improve once any precipitation begins to fall by midday Saturday in those locations.