FNUS73 KMPX 231322
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Michaelson Farms WMA Rx...MNDNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
822 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on April 23. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with 
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION... For the Michaelson Farms WMA RX, A few scattered
showers will be possible later this morning with increasing cloud
cover through the rest of today. Winds will be out of the west-
northwest around 15-20 MPH with gusts of 25-30 MPH. Winds will 
shift to the northwest and eventually to the north through this 
afternoon. RH values bottom out in the mid to upper 40%s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain showers early in the afternoon. 
Temperature.........55 at ignition...Max 58. 
RH..................55 percent at ignition...Min 45 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 15 mph at 
                    ignition...otherwise North winds 15 to 17 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /112800 knot-ft/ at ignition. 
                    Max...excellent /112800 knot-ft/. 
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5400 ft 
                    AGL. 
Transport winds.....North 24 to 28 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3. 

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR 
Weather cov.....SCH                                             
Weather type....RW                                              
Tstm cov........                                                
Temp............55  55  55  55  55  54  52  49  46  43  42  39  
RH..............55  55  53  51  47  45  46  52  58  65  67  76  
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  
20 FT wind spd..15  15  16  17  16  14  14  10  8   6   6   6   
20 FT wind gust.23  24  25  26  26  24  22  17  14  12  10  10  
Mix hgt (kft)...5.4 4.8 4.6 4.3 3.9 4.1 3.8 2.9 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.7 
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   
Transp wind spd.24  25  26  28  26  24  21  16  14  10  9   9   
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming 
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent). Areas of frost 
                    overnight. Widespread frost after 3 am. 
Temperature.........Min 31. 
RH..................Max 82 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 14 mph shifting to the 
                    southeast 5 to 6 mph overnight. 
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (86400 knot-ft) early in the evening 
                    decreasing to poor (2400 knot-ft) late in the 
                    night. 
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North 16 to 24 mph shifting to the northeast 9 
                    to 14 mph late in the evening, then shifting to 
                    the southeast 7 to 8 mph overnight becoming 
                    around 8 mph early in the morning. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

$$
Forecaster...Hewett
Requested by...Katie Freehill
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411950.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL [email protected]