← Previous March 31, 2023 10:40 AM

FNUS22 KWNS 311541

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1040 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

Valid 011200Z - 021200Z


The previous forecast remains on track regarding elevated/critical
fire-weather conditions developing in the central/southern High
Plains Saturday afternoon and evening. Some slight adjustments were
made in central NM to account for anticipated elevated conditions in
the vicinity of the Sacramento Mountains. Please see the previous
discussion for more information.

..Flournoy/Bentley.. 03/31/2023

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0148 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023/

Lee troughing east of the Rockies will bring increasing south to
southwest flow across the Central and High Plains Saturday. A very
dry post-frontal air mass will remain in place across this region,
with Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions possible Saturday

...Eastern CO, Northeastern NM, northwest TX, western OK
Guidance indicates that relative humidity reductions to around 15
percent are likely Friday afternoon across a broad region of the
Central and Southern High Plains. There is less confidence in the
coverage of potential Critical winds (region of sustained winds 20
mph). A Critical region was introduced, heavily weighted on the
highest conditional probabilities from the HREF guidance for overlap
of Critical winds and relative humidity, along with the driest fuels
from eastern Colorado and New Mexico into western Oklahoma and
Texas. Outside of this region, a larger Elevated was included to
encompass the region of 15-20 percent relative humidity and
sustained winds around 10-15 mph.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...