← Previous March 31, 2023 10:40 AM
FNUS22 KWNS 311541 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1040 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... The previous forecast remains on track regarding elevated/critical fire-weather conditions developing in the central/southern High Plains Saturday afternoon and evening. Some slight adjustments were made in central NM to account for anticipated elevated conditions in the vicinity of the Sacramento Mountains. Please see the previous discussion for more information. ..Flournoy/Bentley.. 03/31/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0148 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023/ ...Synopsis... Lee troughing east of the Rockies will bring increasing south to southwest flow across the Central and High Plains Saturday. A very dry post-frontal air mass will remain in place across this region, with Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions possible Saturday afternoon. ...Eastern CO, Northeastern NM, northwest TX, western OK Panhandle... Guidance indicates that relative humidity reductions to around 15 percent are likely Friday afternoon across a broad region of the Central and Southern High Plains. There is less confidence in the coverage of potential Critical winds (region of sustained winds 20 mph). A Critical region was introduced, heavily weighted on the highest conditional probabilities from the HREF guidance for overlap of Critical winds and relative humidity, along with the driest fuels from eastern Colorado and New Mexico into western Oklahoma and Texas. Outside of this region, a larger Elevated was included to encompass the region of 15-20 percent relative humidity and sustained winds around 10-15 mph. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$