FNUS28 KWNS 192121
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook RESENT 2
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0421 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Valid 211200Z - 271200Z

An upper-level ridging pattern will persist across the western half
of the CONUS through at least Day 6/Wednesday, as multiple mid-level
troughs amplify while traversing the CONUS east of the Mississippi
River. Medium-range guidance members depict an appreciable chance
for accumulating rainfall from portions of the southern Plains to
the East Coast, which in combination with moist low-level
conditions, should limit significant wildfire-spread concerns.

By Days 7-8 (next Thursday-Friday), medium-range guidance shows a
mid-level trough amplifying over the Rockies, encouraging surface
cyclone development along the High Plains. A dryline should become
established across western Kansas into western Texas each afternoon,
with Elevated to Critically dry and windy conditions likely behind
the dryline. However, appreciable rainfall accumulations may occur
within the next few days over these same areas. Since the impacts of
rainfall upon available fuels is not yet understood, higher Critical
probabilities have been withheld this outlook.

..Squitieri.. 04/19/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...